Prognosis Roland Berger about electric mobility

50% of new cars in high developt countries, 10% of new cars in other countries will be 2020 electric cars or plug-in hybrid cars.



Only 6 weeks after the McKinsey prognosis about the future car market, we repprted this as a curiosity comes the consultant Roland Berger with much more realistic numbers.

Prognosis Testimony for 2020
Germany electric car conference
Berlin November 2008
1 million electric cars until 2020 in Germany
Sweden electric power economy
February 2009
600 thousand electric cars until 2020 in Sweden
McKinsey April 2009 750 thousand electric cars until 2020 worldwide
Roland Berger Mai 2009 more than 50% market share at new cars
in China. 9 bis 10% in other countries.

  PEGE offers McKinsey a bet


After McKinsey published a prognosis, there will be worldwide only 750.000 plug-in hybrid and electric cars, PEGE bets 750.000 will be the monthly Chinese production of plug-in hybrid and electric cars. The looser of the bet has to make on his start page a link to the winner of the bet and to explain the bet.

The Roland Berger prognosis names no numbers, only percent, but seems to be much in the direction of the PEGE bet.



  2009 car factories banished by fosil recession


Peak-oil pricked all economy bubbles and created the first fossil recession. The fossil propulsion of cars is at the end, but some governments do not want to recognise this.

German environment minister in panic
German environment minister Sigmar Gabriel on visit in China gets big panic. German car industry soon in front of looked doors in China.


European car industry before destruction?
Within a few month a drastic change in prognoses. From the ''No problem'' McKinsey study up to the destruction of the European car industry.


Prognosis IEA and Energy Watch Group
The prognosis of the Energy Watch Group from autumn 2007 about the decrease of oil production is wastepaper. The new IEA data from August 2009 are much harder.





Scrapping bonus for cars
Some governments recognize the first fossil recession only as a small insignificant case of malfunction of the fossil economic system, not as a fundamental crisis forcing to rethink.


GM vice president Bob Lutz against Volt GM vice president Bob Lutz against Volt
Bob Lutz: Mainly because of high costs and small range can battery cars not compete with gasoline and diesel vehicles.


Toyota wants more efficient ethanol production
Toyota wants to create with some project partners a more efficient production of Ethanol. Key data are 33 Cent production cost


Prognosis Sweden
The prognosis of the electric power producers in Sweden is with 600.000 electric cars until 2020 much more realistic, than the German with 1 million.


Vacuum assist for electric propulsion Vacuum assist for electric propulsion
The old fashioned vacuum assist only working when the ICE is running is an anachronism, an obstacle to change a car to electric propulsion. Here a modern solution.


Victims of the scrap bonus
The German government takes extreme measures to destabilice. With 2500.-EUR scraping bonus are the owners of old cars persuaded to buy a new car.


Tagesanzeiger Switzerland
In the online version of May 8th brings the ''Tagesanzeiger'' Switzerland an article about electric and Plug-in Hybriccars keeping more secret than writing.


US energy ministry about the hydrogen car
Die PEGE leistet seit Jahren Aufklärungsarbeit über das Wasserstoff Brennstoffzellenauto. Unsere Meinung wird offensichtlich von US Energieminister Steven Chu geteilt.


Prognosis car ads in the next oil crisis Prognosis car ads in the next oil crisis
We show today how the placards for cars will look like in the next oil crisis. The price of oil and electric power as the main theme of advertising.


Car ads in the next oil crisis Car ads in the next oil crisis
Why exacerbate climate change by burning expensive oil products, when you can power your car with inexpensive and environmentally friendly solar electric power?


Stuttgarter Nachrichten conceals electric scooters
Articel, Sunday June 7th: ''The rattle gang is back in town''. Very expensive 2 stroke engine scooters are cheered, 4 strke engines are celebrated as the last progress.


Formula 1 budget quarrel
Many formula one teams want to exit, because they want to spent more than 45 million EUR per year. Is this the right investment at the right time?


Bread and games
Games without bread is something very reprehensible. What was in old Rome the bread is today mobility. Mobility has to be changed from crude oil to renewable energy.


Wolfgang Tiefensee SPD: again nonsense with 1 million electric cars.
There I read August 10th, one week after the disastrous IEA prognosis, in der newspaper ''time'': ''German government wants more speed for electric cars''




Context description:  event events date time 2009