Bloomberg forecast of battery production
Here to the Bloomberg article. What would it be like to continue this prognosis until 2021 in the distant future by 2030 and a few years later?
The core statements of the Bloomberg analysis: The worldwide production capacity increases from 2017 103 GWh to 2021 273 GWh. The share of China in world production will increase from 55% to 65%.
Without the gigafactory of Tesla Motors, the US would be in the de-industrialized zone. This forecast shows impressively what it means when a government acts like the management of a holding company. China first, we build the most important future industries in our country.
For the next 4 years, it is 27.6% growth per year. A continuation of this growth means:
In 2030, world production would be sufficient for 38 million cars. Only in 2035 is it enough for 129 million cars.
The photovoltaic industry has grown from 1.4 GW to 75 GW during these 11 years. In growth there is only a dip in 2012 to 2014, when the German government has destroyed the German photovoltaic industry in immeasurable stupidity. Nevertheless, 43.6% annual growth. Out of 273 GWh production in 2021, but this time with 43.6% annual growth:
For television, in the transition phase to the flat screen, the production facilities for picture tubes were sold to low-cost countries, where a few years of tube televisions were produced, until flat screens became so cheap that it was no longer worth it.